green card lottery chances

How To Increase Your Chances of Winning The Green Card Lottery

Winning the Diversity Visa (DV) Lottery, often referred to as the Green Card Lottery, can be a life-changing opportunity. While it might seem like a daunting task given the sheer number of applicants, there are practical steps and strategies you can employ to improve your chances. 

In this article, we’ll take you through the process, offering valuable insights to enhance your prospects of securing a DV Lottery Green Card.

5 Ways to Increase Your Chances of Winning the DV Lottery

While the selection process is inherently random, certain strategies can be employed to improve the legal odds of success:

1. Family Participation

  • Spousal Entries: If both spouses meet the eligibility requirements, each should submit a separate entry. This effectively doubles the family’s chances of winning because if one spouse wins, the other can also receive a visa as a derivative spouse.
  • Children’s Entries: Unmarried children under 21 who meet the educational or work experience requirements are encouraged to apply independently for the DV Lottery. While they cannot sponsor their parents for immigration immediately upon winning, their successful application can indeed pave the way for family-based immigration in the future, after they have achieved U.S. citizenship1.

2. Adherence to Rules

  • Single Entry per Person: Submit only one entry per person. Duplicate entries will result in automatic disqualification due to the State Department’s anti-fraud mechanisms.
  • Accurate and Complete Applications: Ensure that every detail on the application is accurate. Incomplete or incorrect applications are a significant cause of disqualification.
  • Photo Compliance: The application must include a photo that meets strict requirements set by the lottery. Photos that do not comply with these guidelines lead to immediate disqualification.

Professional Review: Consider using a service like The American Dream, which offers a professional review of your application to ensure it is error-free. However, remember that no service can legally increase your chances of winning.

3. Timely and Informed Submission

  • Stay Updated: Keep abreast of any changes to the DV Lottery rules and requirements and adjust your application accordingly.
  • Early Registration: With services like The American Dream, you can register for the lottery year-round, ensuring that your application is ready and submitted during the official entry period.

4. Stay Organized

  • Confirmation and Documentation: After submitting your application, ensure you have the confirmation number and keep records of all correspondence and documentation. This will be crucial for verifying your application status later on.

5. Apply Every Year

  • Participate Annually: As long as you meet the eligibility criteria, continue to apply every year. Consistent participation over several years can significantly enhance your chances.

By following these guidelines, you can maximize the legality and completeness of your participation in the DV Lottery. Always remember that the process is random and there are no guarantees, but responsible and informed participation is key to maintaining eligibility and maximizing potential opportunities for success.

Applicants should regularly check the State Department’s Visa Bulletin and the official DV Lottery instructions to stay informed about their region’s eligibility and chances. Understanding these dynamics is a key aspect of setting realistic expectations for the DV Lottery.

  • Word of caution: Any service or individual claiming they can improve your odds for a fee is likely a scam. The official entry is free and can only be done through the U.S. Department of State website. Be wary of scams and do not pay money for entry or to check the status of your entry​

Is the DV Lottery Really Random?

Many applicants often wonder if the Diversity Visa (DV) Lottery is genuinely random, and the answer is, in essence, yes. The DV Lottery relies on a computerized random selection process, ensuring that every participant has an equal chance of winning2.

However, the simplicity of the term “random” in this context doesn’t tell the full story. 

For one, the U.S. government selects more winners than there are available visas. Roughly 125,000 people are selected each year, but only ~50,000 DV Green Cards are allotted3. So, everyone whose name is drawn is put on a waiting list and given a number. 

Winning the DV Lottery is just the first step in a multi-stage process, and it does not guarantee immediate success in obtaining a Green Card. 

The strategic over-selection accounts for several factors that can influence an applicant’s path to obtaining a Green Card.

In essence, not everyone who wins the lottery can successfully adjust their status due to various reasons, such as failing to meet the eligibility criteria, not responding to interview invitations, or being selected but not ranking high enough in the selection order.

It’s also important to note that the benefits of the Diversity Visa (DV) Lottery extend to the immediate family members of the winners. Spouses and unmarried children under 21 years of age are eligible for Green Cards as dependents, which promotes family reunification. However, this inclusion means that each family member granted a visa is counted towards the annual cap, reducing the pool of visas available for other applicants.

Did you know? Almost 40% of all Green Card applicants drop out of the lottery prematurely due to formal errors4.

dv lottery chances

What are the Chances of Winning the Green Card Lottery?

Winning the DV Lottery is highly competitive. Understanding the odds is essential for realistic expectations. 

To answer this question with clarity, we need to provide some context on how many people apply per year, how many DVs are allotted per year, and how it’s divided up among eligible countries…

Each year, tens of millions of people from across the globe apply for the DV lottery5.

The U.S. government typically offers 50,000 Diversity Visas (DVs), distributed among six global regions (there will be 55,000 alloted for DV-20256):

  1. Africa
  2. Asia
  3. Europe
  4. North America
  5. Oceania
  6. Combined region of South America, Central America, and the Caribbean

No single country receives more than 7% of these visas, with allocations adjusted annually to match immigration patterns and diversity goals7. However, the number of entrants from each country and the demand for visas vary, which greatly influences individual odds (i.e. if you are from a country with lots of participants, your odds decrease).

Your chance of success in a given year as an individual ranges from around 0.28% (worst success rate for Asia region in 2007-2021 fiscal years) to around 10.03% (best success rate for Oceania region in 2007-2021 fiscal years)8.

According to The American Dream, the chances of winning a Green Card are currently about 1:25 to 1:75 (depending on the region you live in) – for Europeans, most recently about 1:45. This means that approximately every 45th participant actually wins a Green Card.

The lower success rates in regions such as Asia can be attributed to the overwhelming number of applications from these areas, which tends to dilute the individual chances of winning.

Note: Citizens of countries that have sent more than 50,000 immigrants to the U.S. over the past five years are not eligible to participate in the Diversity Visa (DV) Lottery6. Canada is one of the countries whose citizens typically cannot participate due to high immigration numbers to the U.S.

how can i increase my chances of winning dv lottery

Process of Applying for DV lottery

Applying for the Diversity Visa (DV) Lottery involves a straightforward, yet detailed process. Here’s a concise breakdown:

StepAction
1Check Eligibility – Confirm you’re from a qualifying country and meet the education/work experience criteria. See details below.
2Gather Information/Documents – Prepare personal info, educational and work history, and a valid passport.
3Online Entry Form – Complete the DS-5501 on the official DV Lottery website during the registration period. Ensure all eligible family members apply as well.
4Photo Requirements – Upload compliant photos of yourself and family members.
5Review Your Application – Double-check all information for accuracy to avoid disqualification.
6Submit Before Deadline – Submit your application within the registration window to avoid last-minute delays.
7Confirmation Number – Save the unique confirmation number received after submission.
8Entrant Status Check – Check your application status on the DV Lottery website starting May 1 the following year.
9Selection and Instructions – If selected, follow the provided instructions for the visa application process.

Eligibility for Green Card Lottery

  • Nationality: Applicants must come from countries with low rates of immigration to the U.S. The list of eligible countries is updated yearly and excludes those that have sent more than 50,000 immigrants to the U.S. in the previous five years.
  • Education: A high school education or its equivalent, which is a 12-year course of formal elementary and secondary education, is typically required.
  • Work Experience: In lieu of educational requirements, at least two years of work experience within the past five years in an occupation requiring at least two years of training or experience is necessary. The Department of State uses the O*Net Online database to determine qualifying occupations.
  • Valid Passport: As of recent updates, applicants must have a valid, unexpired passport to participate in the DV Lottery unless they fall into one of the exceptions due to nationality, statelessness, or other special circumstances.
  • No Criminal Record: Applicants should not have a criminal record that would make them ineligible for a visa.
  • No U.S. Visa Violations: They must not have violated the terms of a previous U.S. visa.
  • Admissibility: They must be admissible to the United States, which means they do not have a history or condition that would typically bar them from being granted a U.S. visa (such as certain communicable diseases, a history of drug abuse, or terrorist activities).
  • Application Submission: Applicants must submit an online form and a digital photograph that meets the specifications during the designated registration period.
  • Selection and Follow-up: If selected, applicants must complete further consular processing, which includes an interview, a medical examination, and the submission of various documents.

It is also important to understand that eligibility requirements can change, so applicants should check the latest instructions provided by the U.S. Department of State for the specific DV Lottery year they are applying for1.

10 Tips for Applying for DV Lottery

When applying for the Diversity Visa Lottery, it is crucial to approach the process with care and attention to detail. Here are ten tips to guide you through your application:

  1. Eligibility Confirmation: Start by thoroughly reading the official instructions at dvprogram.state.gov to determine if you meet the qualifications. Refrain from applying if you do not satisfy the eligibility criteria.
  2. Official Sources: Trust only U.S. government websites for information regarding the DV Lottery. Look for sites with a “.gov” domain, as they are the authoritative sources for DV-2025.
  3. Authorized Entry Portal: Enter the lottery exclusively via dvprogram.state.gov. This is the sole legitimate channel to submit your entry, so stay alert to avoid scams.
  4. No Entry Fee: Remember, it costs nothing to enter the DV Lottery. Be skeptical of anyone claiming they can increase your odds for a fee, or offering to submit your application for free.
  5. Recent Photo: Ensure your photo is current, taken within the last six months. Outdated photographs are grounds for disqualification.
  6. One Entry Per Person: Submit only one entry per individual. Multiple entries will lead to disqualification from the current DV season.
  7. Family Information: Accurately include your spouse and all unmarried children under 21 years of age in your entry, whether or not they will accompany you. Incomplete or incorrect family information can disqualify you, even after selection.
  8. Confirmation Number: Safeguard your unique confirmation number post submission. This number is essential for checking the status of your entry during the selection announcement in May.
  9. Check Your Selection: Verify if you have been selected in May 2024 only through dvprogram.state.gov/ESC. Ignore any letters or emails claiming selection; these are fraudulent.
  10. No Guaranteed Visa: Keep in mind that being selected in the lottery does not assure you of an interview or a visa.

Following these tips will help ensure that you navigate the DV Lottery process correctly and avoid common pitfalls that could affect your application.

chances of winning green card lottery by country

Which Countries Have the Highest Chance in the DV Lottery?

  • Regions with Higher Odds: Historically, regions with fewer applicants relative to the number of visas available, such as Oceania and certain countries in Africa, may present better odds. This is due to lower application rates which increase the likelihood of selection for each entrant.
  • Regions with Lower Odds: Conversely, countries with a high volume of applicants, like those in Asia and Eastern Europe, may face stiffer competition. This higher number of entries drives down the individual chance of winning

Related: Chances to Win Diversity Lottery by Country

Related: Results of past DV lotteries (number of winners by each country)

Benefits of Green Card Lottery

The Diversity Visa (DV) Lottery offers a multitude of benefits for individuals seeking new opportunities in the United States:

  • Lawful Permanent Residency: Winners gain the coveted status of a lawful permanent resident in the U.S., commonly known as a Green Card holder.
  • Employment Freedom: Recipients are authorized to work in any job in the U.S., enjoying the same labor market freedoms as U.S. citizens, without the need for employer sponsorship or an employment visa.
  • Educational Opportunities: Winners have the right to access public education systems and may qualify for in-state tuition rates at colleges and universities, significantly reducing educational expenses.
  • Family Reunification: The program allows winners to bring their spouse and unmarried children under the age of 21 to the United States, facilitating family unity.
  • Citizenship Pathway: After five years of permanent residency, winners have the opportunity to apply for U.S. citizenship, provided they meet all other eligibility requirements.
  • Diversity and Inclusion: The DV Lottery promotes cultural diversity by allowing immigration from countries with historically low rates of immigration to the U.S.
  • Social Security Benefits: Winners may become eligible for U.S. social programs such as Social Security and Medicare after contributing to the system through work for a qualifying period.
  • Family Sponsorship: As Green Card holders, they can sponsor relatives for their own Green Cards, expanding the possibility of immigration to other family members in the future.
  • Business and Investment: The program opens the door for establishing businesses or making investments in one of the world’s largest and most dynamic economies.
  • Global Mobility: A Green Card can enhance travel ease to many countries and ensure less complicated re-entry to the U.S. after international travel.
  • Legal Protections: Permanent residents are protected under U.S. law, can receive consular protection abroad, and have the right to a fair trial, due process, and freedom from arbitrary actions.

Together, these benefits offer a robust foundation for those selected in the DV Lottery to build a prosperous life in the United States.

FAQs

When can I apply for the DV lottery?

The application period for the Diversity Visa (DV) lottery, also known as the green card lottery, typically opens once a year, and the exact dates may vary from year to year. For example, registration for the 2025 DV Lottery was from October 4, 2023 to November 7, 2023 at 12 noon ET. It is important to check the official U.S. Department of State website for the most up-to-date information on when the DV lottery application period begins and ends. Generally, the application period for the DV lottery is open for a limited time, usually several weeks, so it’s essential to stay informed and apply during the designated timeframe.

When can I check who won the green card lottery?

The results of the Diversity Visa (DV) lottery are usually available for checking online on the official U.S. Department of State website. After you have submitted your DV lottery application during the application period, you will need to wait for the lottery drawing to take place. The exact date when the results will be available can vary from year to year, but it is typically announced on the same website (and in May). It’s essential to keep track of the official announcements and check the website regularly to see if you have won.

Is there a minimum age requirement for DV Lottery applicants?

There is no specific minimum age requirement to enter the DV Lottery. However, you must meet the educational or work experience requirements.

Can I apply for the DV Lottery if I have been previously denied a U.S. visa?

Yes, you can still apply for the DV Lottery even if you have been denied a U.S. visa in the past. The lottery application process is separate from visa applications.

Can I win the DV lottery if I’m in the US?

Yes, it is possible to win the Diversity Visa (DV) lottery while you are in the United States. There are a small number of lottery winners each year who, at the time of winning the lottery, are already residing in the United States in a nonimmigrant or other legal status. For these winners residing inside the United States, the United States Citizenship and Immigration Services (USCIS) processes adjustment of status applications to obtain a green card.

What happens if I win the DV Lottery?

If you win, you will be eligible to apply for a green card. You will need to go through additional steps, including an interview at a U.S. embassy or consulate.

Related: Green Card Processing Time by Type of Visa

Summary:

To enhance your chances in the DV Lottery:

  • Ensure that all eligible family members apply, as each valid entry offers an independent chance to win.
  • Strictly adhere to the rules by submitting a single, error-free application per person, with compliant photos.
  • Stay informed about lottery requirements and submit your entries promptly within the official timeframe.
  • Remember, the selection is random and no service can increase your actual odds of winning.

References:

  1. https://travel.state.gov/content/travel/en/us-visas/immigrate/diversity-visa-program-entry/diversity-visa-if-you-are-selected/diversity-visa-confirm-your-qualifications.html
  2. https://travel.state.gov/content/dam/visas/Diversity-Visa/DV-Instructions-Translations/DV-2024-Instructions-Translations/DV-2024-Instructions.pdf
  3. https://www.uscis.gov/green-card/green-card-eligibility/green-card-through-the-diversity-immigrant-visa-program
  4. https://www.green-card.com/green-card-through-green-card-lottery
  5. https://travel.state.gov/content/dam/visas/Diversity-Visa/DVStatistics/DV-applicant-entrants-by-country-2019-2021.pdf
  6. https://travel.state.gov/content/dam/visas/Diversity-Visa/DV-Instructions-Translations/dv-2025-instructions-translations/DV-2025_Instructions-faqs.pdf
  7. https://travel.state.gov/content/travel/en/News/visas-news/update-on-diversity-visa-dv-program-2023.html
  8. https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/iHMiidnaJW5GCDpTH/want-to-work-in-the-us-consider-applying-to-the-green-card
  9. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Diversity_Immigrant_Visa#Statistics

Author

  • Samuel Coleman

    Samuel Coleman, a U.S. native, is the co-founder of My Immigration Services, a company dedicated to assisting individuals through the complex U.S. immigration process. Using his in-depth knowledge of visas and relocation, he helps people navigate the challenges of moving to the USA.

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